課程名稱 |
專題討論下 Seminar (2) |
開課學期 |
103-2 |
授課對象 |
哲學系 |
授課教師 |
王榮麟 |
課號 |
Phl4998 |
課程識別碼 |
104 40802 |
班次 |
06 |
學分 |
1 |
全/半年 |
全年 |
必/選修 |
選修 |
上課時間 |
星期一1(8:10~9:00) |
上課地點 |
哲研討室二 |
備註 |
本課程中文授課,使用英文教科書。限已申請者選修。 限學士班四年級以上 且 限本系所學生(含輔系、雙修生) 總人數上限:3人 |
Ceiba 課程網頁 |
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/1032Phl4998_06 |
課程簡介影片 |
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核心能力關聯 |
核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖 |
課程大綱
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課程概述 |
因果關係與統計相關是兩回事,此乃科學上的常識。而如何從統計相關進一步宣稱有因果關係,不僅攸關科學實作,也是科學哲學上的一個重要議題。本課程主要針對「機率」(probability)、「相關」(correlation)以及「因果」(causality)等概念進行哲學性的分析。尤其著重於分析機率因果論(probabilistic theory of causality)在哪些領域上優於其他傳統討論因果關係的理論,並且深入探討此觀點在當代所遭遇到的困難以及可能的解決方案。 |
課程目標 |
使修課學生對於傳統因果理論有所掌握,尤其是對於機率因果論有更深入的理解。並且進一步探討相關與因果此二概念的關聯性,從而認識此研究路線的困難以及可能的解決方案。 |
課程要求 |
修課學生需每週閱讀指定文本、撰寫摘要。每月撰寫約3000字短文一篇,並與授課教師討論其內容。 |
預期每週課後學習時數 |
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Office Hours |
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指定閱讀 |
待補 |
參考書目 |
Beebee, H., Hitchcock, C., Menzies P., 2009, The Oxford Handbook of Causation, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Cartwright N., 1993, “Marks and Probabilities: Two Ways to Find Causal Structure,” in Fritz Stadler (ed.), Scientific Philosophy: Origins and Development, Dordrecht: Kluwer.
Cartwright N., 1999, The Dappled World, Cambridge University Press.
Cartwright N., 2007, Hunting Causes and Using Them, Cambridge University Press.
Doll R, Hill AB., 1950, “Smoking and carcinoma of the lung. Preliminary report,” British Medical Journal, 2: 739-748.
Doll R, Hill AB., 1954, “The mortality of doctors in relation to their smoking habits,” British Medical Journal, 228:1451-5.
Eells E., 1991, Probabilistic Causality, Cambridge University Press.
Hill AB, 1965, "The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation?" Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, 58: 295-300.
Lawrence Sklar, 2000, Probability and Confirmation, Garland Publishing, Inc.
Menzies P., 1989, “Probabilistic Causation and Causal Processes: A Critique of Lewis,” Philosophy of Science, vol. 56, No. 4.
Rosen D., 1978, “In Defense of a Probabilistic Theory of Causality,” Philosophy of Science, vol. 45, No. 4.
Russo F., Williamson J., 2007, Causality and Probability in the Sciences, Lightning Source Inc.
Shaffer J., 2001, “Causes as Probability Raisers of Processes,” The Journal of Philosophy, vol. 98, No. 2.
Shipley B., 2000, Cause and Correlation in Biology, Cambridge University Press.
Skyrms B., 1980, Causal Necessity: A Pragmatic Investigation of the Necessity of Laws, Yale University Press.
Sloman S., 2005, Causal Models : How People Think about the World And Its Alternatives, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
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評量方式 (僅供參考) |
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