課程概述 |
Data statistical analysis is essential to research and application in Atmospheric Sciences. Students of this course will learn step by step various theories and methods of modern statistical analysis which usually be applied in atmospheric sciences. Illustrations selected from papers in the journals of atmospheric sciences will be used. Students will be asked to do homework problems set with Matlab Software.
Topics to be covered:
Hypothesis Testing: Background, parametric approaches, nonparametric tests (classical, resampling, the bootstrap, and permutation)
Forecast Verification: Categorical forecasts, probability forecasts, nonprobabilistic forecasts of fields, verification of ensemble forecasts
Multivariate Analysis: Matrix algebra, principal component analysis, canonical correlation analysis, discrimination and classification, cluster analysis
Bayesian Inference: Bayes’ theorem, Bayesian inference with prior distributions, Bayesian prediction (if time permits)
Artificial Neural Network: Concept of ANN, back-propagation ANN, applications
Genetic Algorithm: An introduction (if time permits)
Homework problem sets will be given on a regular basis.
Suggested textbook: Statistical Methods in the atmospheric sciences, D. Wilks, 2nd edition, Academic Press, 2006
Supplementary books: Probability, Statistics, and Decision-making in the Atmospheric Sciences, Chapter 12. A.H. Murphy and R.W. Katz, Eds., Westview Press, 1985
Bayesian data analysis, A. Gelman, et al., Chapman & Hall, 2004
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參考書目 |
1. Wilks,D.,2006: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, 2nd
edition, Academic Press.
2. Murphy,A.H. and R.W. Kate Eds,1985:Probability, Statistics, and
Decision-making in the Atmospheric Sciences, Westview Press.
3. Gelman, A. et al., 2004: Bayesian data analysis, Chapman &Hall.
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