課程名稱 |
產業風險評估與管理 Industrial Risk Assessment and Management |
開課學期 |
99-2 |
授課對象 |
工學院 工業工程學研究所 |
授課教師 |
吳文方 |
課號 |
IE5026 |
課程識別碼 |
546 U3210 |
班次 |
|
學分 |
3 |
全/半年 |
半年 |
必/選修 |
選修 |
上課時間 |
星期四6,7,8(13:20~16:20) |
上課地點 |
工綜213 |
備註 |
總人數上限:40人 |
Ceiba 課程網頁 |
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/992_risk |
課程簡介影片 |
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核心能力關聯 |
核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖 |
課程大綱
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為確保您我的權利,請尊重智慧財產權及不得非法影印
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課程概述 |
風險無所不在,企業從生產製造到營運管理,都必須要控制與管理風險,尤其近年來企業經營的外在環境存在著愈來愈多的不確定性,更是需要強化風險控管的觀念。本課程主要將介紹企業從生產製造到營運管理的規劃與執行過程中,所可能遭遇到的風險認定、評估、分析與處理方法,詳細課程內容將包括介紹企業營運的不確定性、風險及風險管理的定義、風險識別、風險評估、工程風險、工程經濟以及一些風險控管的技術,其目的是希望學生能具備風險管理應有的知識與技術,並能以系統工程的觀點來解決企業營運中所可能面臨的各種風險。
The course introduces engineering approaches to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. It assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the part of the student, and provides the necessary mathematical and engineering foundations. It relies heavily on, but is not limited to, examples from the nuclear industry, because that is where PRA techniques were first developed. Since PRA provides a best-estimate approach, it pays special attention to explaining uncertainty characterization. |
課程目標 |
依個人研究經驗,讓工程學系學生瞭解風險評估方法與風險管理,並指出各種可能的應用領域。 |
課程要求 |
除教師解說外,學生需分組參與報告與討論。 |
預期每週課後學習時數 |
|
Office Hours |
另約時間 備註: 隨時 |
指定閱讀 |
Mohammad Modarres, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and
Trends, CRC Press, 2006.(ISBN: 1574447947, EAN: 9781574447941,本學期教科書) |
參考書目 |
1. Bilal M. Ayyub, Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics, Chapman &
Hall/CRC, 2003.
2. Glenn Koller, Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry -
A Practical Guide, CRC Press, 1999.
3. James Lam, Enterprise Risk Management: From Incentives to Controls, Wiley,
2003.
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評量方式 (僅供參考) |
No. |
項目 |
百分比 |
說明 |
1. |
期末個別書面報告暨ppt 檔案製作 |
20% |
可為群組口頭報告的延伸 |
2. |
每週繳交課程內容之閱讀心得 |
40% |
至少10次、以A4單面一張為原則 |
3. |
群組口頭報告暨ppt 檔案製作兩次 |
20% |
|
4. |
隨堂評論與應答 |
5% |
|
5. |
課堂出席簽到 |
15% |
|
|
週次 |
日期 |
單元主題 |
第1週 |
2/24 |
Course Outline |
第2週 |
3/03 |
Chap. 0 Introduction - My Experience From Reliability Engineering to Risk Management |
第3週 |
3/10 |
Chap. 1 Introduction and Basic Definitions; Chap. 2 Elements of Risk Assessment |
第4週 |
3/17 |
Chap. 3 Probabilistic Risk Assessment |
第5週 |
3/24 |
Chap. 4 Performance Assessment: Data and Modeling |
第6週 |
3/31 |
Chap. 4 Performance Assessment: Data and Modeling (continuous); Supplement to Chaps. 3 & 4 |
第7週 |
4/07 |
Supplement to Chaps. 3 & 4 (continuous) |
第8週 |
4/14 |
Supplement to Chaps. 3 & 4 (continuous) |
第9週 |
4/21 |
Chap. 5 Uncertainty Analysis |
第10週 |
4/28 |
Chap. 6 Identifying, Ranking and Predicting Contributors to Risk |
第11週 |
5/05 |
Chap. 7 Representation of Risk Values and Risk Acceptance Criteria; Chap. 8 Decision Making Techniques Using Risk Information |
第12週 |
5/12 |
Oral Presentation on Selected Topic by Group 1: Aviation Risk |
第13週 |
5/19 |
Oral Presentation on Selected Topic by Group 2: Risk Analysis for Hydrogen Vehicles; Lecture by Prof. Liaw on "Error and Risk for Patent Evaluation;" You may also refer to http://www.acc.scu.edu.tw/academic/seminar/20041119/file/04.pdf |
第14週 |
5/26 |
Oral Presentation on Selected Topics by Group 3 and Group 4 |
第15週 |
6/02 |
Oral Presentation on Selected Topics by Group 5 and Group 6 |
第16週 |
6/09 |
Oral Presentation on Selected Topic by Group 7; Lecture by Prof. Liaw on "Investment Risk in High-Tech Industry" |
第17週 |
6/16 |
Buffer time for presentation |
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